Sunday, September 08, 2013

Scenes We'd Like To See: Adventures in La La Land

From the linked article
And now it's global COOLING! Record return of Arctic ice cap as it grows by 60% in a yearAlmost a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than in 2012
BBC reported in 2007 global warming would leave Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013
Publication of UN climate change report suggesting global warming caused by humans pushed back to later this month
A chilly Arctic summer has left nearly a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than at the same time last year – an increase of 60 per cent. The rebound from 2012’s record low comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013. Instead, days before the annual autumn re-freeze is due to begin, an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores. 
The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year. More than 20 yachts that had planned to sail it have been left ice-bound and a cruise ship attempting the route was forced to turn back. 
Some eminent scientists now believe the world is heading for a period of cooling that will not end until the middle of this century – a process that would expose computer forecasts of imminent catastrophic warming as dangerously misleading. 
The disclosure comes 11 months after The Mail on Sunday triggered intense political and scientific debate by revealing that global warming has ‘paused’ since the beginning of 1997 – an event that the computer models used by climate experts failed to predict. 
In March, this newspaper further revealed that temperatures are about to drop below the level that the models forecast with ‘90 per cent certainty’. 
The pause – which has now been accepted as real by every major climate research centre – is important, because the models’ predictions of ever-increasing global temperatures have made many of the world’s economies divert billions of pounds into ‘green’ measures to counter  climate change.
Those predictions now appear gravely flawed.

 Geez, ya think?

The article somewhat gleefully reports that the BBC reported back in 2007 that the Arctic Circle would be ice free by 2013.

Well, since it's the Beeb, and this is the Daily Mail, I'd be pretty gleeful in pointing that out my own self.

But, wait, there's more:

The continuing furore caused by The Mail on Sunday’s revelations – which will now be amplified by the return of the Arctic ice sheet – has forced the UN’s climate change body to hold a crisis meeting. 
The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was due in October to start publishing its Fifth Assessment Report – a huge three-volume study issued every six or seven years. It will now hold a pre-summit in Stockholm later this month. 
Leaked documents show that governments which support and finance the IPCC are demanding more than 1,500 changes to the report’s ‘summary for policymakers’. They say its current draft does not properly explain the pause. 
At the heart of the row lie two questions: the extent to which temperatures will rise with carbon dioxide levels, as well as how much of the warming over the past 150 years – so far, just 0.8C – is down to human greenhouse gas emissions and how much is due to natural variability. 
In its draft report, the IPCC says it is ‘95 per cent confident’ that global warming has been caused by humans – up from 90 per cent in 2007.
This claim is already hotly disputed. US climate expert Professor Judith Curry said last night: ‘In fact, the uncertainty is getting bigger. It’s now clear the models are way too sensitive to carbon dioxide. I cannot see any basis for the IPCC increasing its confidence level.’ 
She pointed to long-term cycles  in ocean temperature, which have a huge influence on climate and  suggest the world may be approaching a period similar to that from 1965 to 1975, when there was a clear cooling trend. This led some scientists at the time to forecast an imminent ice age. 
Professor Anastasios Tsonis, of the University of Wisconsin, was one of the first to investigate the ocean cycles. He said: ‘We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped.
‘The IPCC claims its models show a pause of 15 years can be expected. But that means that after only a very few years more, they will have to admit they are wrong.’ 
Others are more cautious. Dr Ed Hawkins, of Reading University, drew the graph published by The Mail on Sunday in March showing how far world temperatures have diverged from computer predictions. He admitted the cycles may have caused some of the recorded warming, but insisted that natural variability alone could not explain all of the temperature rise over the past 150 years. 
Nonetheless, the belief that summer Arctic ice is about to disappear remains an IPCC tenet, frequently flung in the face of critics who point to the pause. 
Yet there is mounting evidence that Arctic ice levels are cyclical. Data uncovered by climate historians show that there was a massive melt in the 1920s and 1930s, followed by intense re-freezes that ended only in 1979 – the year the IPCC says that shrinking began.
Professor Curry said the ice’s behaviour over the next five years would be crucial, both for understanding the climate and for future policy. ‘Arctic sea ice is the indicator to watch,’ she said.
The science isn't settled, the mathematical models are completely flawed, and thus the premise of global warming and in particular man caused global warming have never been proven. When the facts do not support the theory, this means the theory is incorrect. Making public policy that has negative economic impact based on these theories is just plain lunacy. When one considers that our planet has been far warmer than it is now in the past, and also far colder, one could surmise - based on the facts, not pie in the sky suppositions - that the climate on this ol' blue ball is cyclical.

It is my fondest hope to someday see something similar in our news:

Eco-Protesters Arrested
by Carlos Danger, ecological reporter for The Tundra Turd 
After the stunning revelations that ice sheets in the Arctic Circle are in fact growing, the much anticipated report on the effect on local wildlife released last week has created quite a stir in the eco-community, the UN, and worldwide. Chief among the startling news is that the sudden appearance of ice has actually trapped many animals, including seals and polar bears. The seals, trapped under the ice sheets, die from lack of oxygen. The bears find themselves frozen in place, unable to move.
Other animals seem relatively unaffected, but this news has prompted the Earth Wildlife Federation to reverse their stand on global warming, carbon credits, use of petro-energy, and the various strategies to alter man's behavior to stave off planet wide destruction. 
The prevailing theory among the eco-conscious now appears to be a strategy involving increasing pollution to help increase the global temperature. Hundreds of protesters stormed the UN today to show support for the emerging Global Heating Movement. 
Protesters were holding signs with messages such as Your Prius Is Death, Meat is NOT Murder Cattle Farts Wanted, Wind and Solar Power Are Freezing Us To DEATH among other strident calls to burn more oil and coal.
Spokeswoman for the group Olivia Patchouli Bongwater, after emerging from the organization's new Cadillac Escalade, made this statement:
We cannot continue to worry about lowering our earth's temperature while poor baby harp seals suffer. We must commit to a new energy and pollution policy in order to save our animal brethren.
She immediately found a UN policeman and assaulted him with her sign, and was promptly arrested.

More protests involving other venues and organizations are scheduled this winter.

If only.

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